Adapting the Own Children Method to allow comparison of fertility between populations with different marriage regimes.
Adapting the Own Children Method to allow comparison of fertility between populations with different marriage regimes.
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采用亲子法来比较不同婚姻制度人口之间的生育率。
DOI：
10.1080/00324728.2019.1630563
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发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Reid A
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Reid A
自己的孩子方法（OCM）是一种间接程序，用于在人口普查或调查中从与母亲同住的孩子中得出特定年龄的生育率和总生育率。该方法主要是为了计算总体生育率而设计的，尽管有一些变体可以计算婚姻生育率。在本文中，我们认为计算婚姻生育率的标准变量可能会产生误导性结果，并且需要强有力的假设，特别是当应用于社会或空间亚组时。我们提出了计算婚姻生育率方法的两种新变体：第一种允许非婚生育率的存在，第二种也允许对人口的社会亚群的比率进行更稳健的计算。我们使用 1911 年英格兰和威尔士的全面人口普查数据来说明和测试这些结果。
The Own Children Method (OCM) is an indirect procedure for deriving age-specific fertility rates and total fertility from children living with their mothers at a census or survey. The method was designed primarily for the calculation of overall fertility, although there are variants that allow the calculation of marital fertility. In this paper we argue that the standard variants for calculating marital fertility can produce misleading results and require strong assumptions, particularly when applied to social or spatial subgroups. We present two new variants of the method for calculating marital fertility: the first of these allows for the presence of non-marital fertility and the second also permits the more robust calculation of rates for social subgroups of the population. We illustrate and test these using full-count census data for England and Wales in 1911.