Climate Change Trends, Impacts, and Adaptation in Kara Kulja District, Southern Kyrgyzstan
Climate Change Trends, Impacts, and Adaptation in Kara Kulja District, Southern Kyrgyzstan
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吉尔吉斯斯坦南部卡拉库利亚区气候变化趋势、影响和适应
DOI：
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
N. Ershova
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
L. Ashley;N. Ershova
气候变化影响是资源可得性的关键驱动因素，但吉尔吉斯斯坦的国家气候变化信息有限，地方信息几乎不存在。虽然该国的农村山区社区越来越熟悉与区域气候变化趋势相关的洪水、炎热、风和干旱，但他们缺乏与当地相关的、基于科学的适应努力信息。这项气候变化分析旨在填补奥什州Kara Kulja区的这一信息空白。该研究结合了气候科学，两个气象站的气象数据（1940-2010），两条河流站的水文数据（1970-2010）以及所有分区的社区焦点小组讨论，以确定气候变化趋势，影响和适应措施。分析的目的是产生与当地相关的信息，用于设计减少气候变化脆弱性的适应计划和活动。调查结果表明，多个数据源紧密结合。气温、降水量和河流流量以及相关影响都有明显的趋势。该地区所有村庄都因洪水和/或干旱的规模和频率增加以及干旱状况而遭受损失。由于对气候变化知之甚少，许多人已经开始努力适应气候变化。
Climate change impacts are key drivers in resource availability yet national climate change information is limited and local information is nearly non-existent in Kyrgyzstan. While the country’s rural mountainous communities are increasingly familiar with the flooding, heat, winds, and drying associated with regional climate change trends, they lack locally relevant, science based information for adaptation efforts. This climate change analysis aims to fill this information gap in Kara Kulja district in Osh oblast. The research combines climate science, meteorological data (1940-2010) from two weather stations, hydro data (1970-2010) from two rivers stations, and community focus group discussions in all sub-districts to identify climate change trends, impacts, and adaptation measures. The purpose of the analysis is to generate locally relevant information for use in designing adaptation plans and activities that reduce climate change vulnerability. Findings demonstrate that the multiple data sources closely align. There are significant trends in temperature, precipitation, and river flow and associated impacts. All villages in the region have suffered losses related to increasing magnitude and frequency of flood and/or drought and drying conditions. With little to no understanding of climate change, many people have begun adaptation efforts.