Climate change mitigation in Chinese megacities: A measures-based analysis of opportunities in the residential sector

Climate change mitigation in Chinese megacities: A measures-based analysis of opportunities in the residential sector
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DOI:
10.1016/j.apenergy.2016.07.112
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发表时间:
2016-12
期刊:
影响因子:
11.2
通讯作者:
Qingyan He;Xujia Jiang;A. Gouldson;Andrew Sudmant;D. Guan;Sarah Colenbrander;T. Xue;B. Zheng
Qingyan He;Xujia Jiang;A. Gouldson;Andrew Sudmant;D. Guan;Sarah Colenbrander;T. Xue;B. Zheng
中科院分区:
工程技术1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Qingyan He;Xujia Jiang;A. Gouldson;Andrew Sudmant;D. Guan;Sarah Colenbrander;T. Xue;B. Zheng

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中国在《联合国气候变化框架公约》(UNFCCC)中承诺到2030年或更早达到排放峰值,标志着人们期待已久的中国发展模式的转变,其影响深远。中国的城市,特别是城市的住宅部门,将肩负着大幅减少排放增长的责任,尽管城市化率仍在继续攀升。本文以北京和上海为研究对象,对住宅领域的低碳投资机会进行了基于措施的经济分析。结果发现了显著的机遇:2015年至2030年间,通过采取经济上具有吸引力的低碳措施,北京和上海的BAU二氧化碳排放量可分别减少10.2%和6.8%。虽然这些主要结果强调了在中国这些特大城市的住宅领域进行低碳投资的理由,但更深入的分析可以为更广泛地理解城市脱碳经济学提供见解。
China’s commitment to the UNFCCC to peak its emissions by 2030, or sooner, signaled a long anticipated shift in China’s model of development with far reaching consequences. Cities in China, and particularly the residential sector in cities, will be charged with making significant reductions in emissions growth even as rates of urbanization continue to climb. Focusing on Beijing and Shanghai, this paper carries out a measures-based economic analysis of low carbon investment opportunities in the residential sector. Results find significant opportunity: between 2015 and 2030, BAU levels of CO2emissions could be reduced by 10.2% in Beijing and 6.8% in Shanghai with the adoption of economically attractive low carbon measures. While these headline results underline the case for low carbon investment in the residential sectors of these megacities in China, a closer analysis provides insights for understanding the economics of decarbonisation in cities more generally.