Thinking About Global Warming
Thinking About Global Warming
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对全球变暖的思考
DOI：
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发表时间：
2006
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
J. Baron
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
J. Baron
对全球变暖的态度受到各种试探法的影响，这些试探法可能会扭曲政策，使其偏离对人民福祉最有利的方向。这些可能的扭曲或偏见包括：关注我们造成的伤害，而不是我们可以更容易补救的伤害；认为造成问题的人应该解决它的感觉；想要解决问题而不是补偿它的存在的愿望；对自己的群体(国家)的狭隘关注；以及忽视不存在的风险。尽管这些偏见中的大多数往往会让我们相对过多地关注全球变暖，但其他偏见，如一厢情愿的想法，会导致我们关注的太少。我讨论了这些可能的影响，并用在万维网上进行的一项实验来说明其中的一些。
Attitudes toward global warming are influenced by various heuristics, which may distort policy away from what is optimal for the well-being of people. These possible distortions, or biases, include: a focus on harms that we cause, as opposed to those that we can remedy more easily; a feeling that those who cause a problem should fix it; a desire to undo a problem rather than compensate for its presence; parochial concern with one’s own group (nation); and neglect of risks that are not available. Although most of these biases tend to make us attend relatively too much to global warming, other biases, such as wishful thinking, cause us to attend too little. I discuss these possible effects and illustrate some of them with an experiment conducted on the World Wide Web.