Return delays and evacuation order compliance: the case of Hurricane Georges and the Florida Keys
Return delays and evacuation order compliance: the case of Hurricane Georges and the Florida Keys
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返回延误和疏散令遵守：飓风乔治和佛罗里达群岛的案例
DOI：
10.3763/ehaz.2000.0217
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发表时间：
2000
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
B. Morrow
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Nicole Dash;B. Morrow
摘要 使用采访数据，我们研究了飓风乔治之后重新进入佛罗里达群岛的广为人知的延误对未来疏散意图的影响。特别有趣的是，我们发现这些延误对那些经历过延误的人未来的疏散决定的影响要小于对那些从二手来源得知延误的人的影响。对返回延误的恐惧只是疏散决策中的一个因素，尽管这一因素尚未得到充分研究。对于这个撤离人员样本来说，感知风险是最显着的因素，并且这种风险评估并没有因疏散相关的延误等不便而充分减弱。然而，对于非疏散人员来说，尽管他们感知到的风险程度很高，但延迟因素似乎只会增加他们下次疏散的意愿。
Abstract Using interview data, we examine the effects of the heavily publicized delays in reentering the Florida Keys after Hurricane Georges on future evacuation intent. Of particular interest is the finding that the delays will have less influence on the future evacuation decisions of those who experienced them than on those who learned of them from secondary sources. Fear of return delays is only one factor in evacuation decision-making, albeit an understudied one. For this sample of evacuees, perceived risk is the most salient factor, and this risk assessment is not sufficiently diminished by the inconveniences, such as delays, associated with evacuation. For non-evacuees, however, the delay factor appeared to only increase their reluctance to evacuate the next time, despite their level of perceived risk.