Creative Careers: The Life Cycles of Nobel Laureates in Economics
Creative Careers: The Life Cycles of Nobel Laureates in Economics
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创意职业：诺贝尔经济学奖获得者的生命周期
DOI：
10.1007/s10645-019-09339-9
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Galenson, David W.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Weinberg, Bruce A.;Galenson, David W.
我们在诺贝尔经济学奖得主中发现了学术创造力的两个极端生命周期，丁伯根大致处于中间。实验性的革新者以归纳的方式工作，从经验中积累知识。概念革新者运用抽象的原则进行演绎。那些工作更具概念性的革新者比那些工作更具实验性的革新者在职业生涯的早期完成了他们最重要的工作。我们的估计表明，最具概念性的获奖者发表他最好的作品的概率在25岁达到顶峰，而最具实验性的获奖者在50岁左右达到顶峰。因此，虽然经验有利于实验创新者，但对一个领域的新鲜感有利于概念创新者。
We identify two polar life cycles of scholarly creativity among Nobel laureate economists with Tinbergen falling broadly in the middle. Experimental innovators work inductively, accumulating knowledge from experience. Conceptual innovators work deductively, applying abstract principles. Innovators whose work is more conceptual do their most important work earlier in their careers than those whose work is more experimental. Our estimates imply that the probability that the most conceptual laureate publishes his single best work peaks at age 25 compared to the mid-50 s for the most experimental laureate. Thus, while experience benefits experimental innovators, newness to a field benefits conceptual innovators.