Order from Chaos? The Effects of Early Labor Market Experiences on Adult Labor Market Outcomes
Order from Chaos? The Effects of Early Labor Market Experiences on Adult Labor Market Outcomes
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混沌中的秩序？
DOI：
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发表时间：
1997
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
D. Neumark
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Rosella M. Gardecki;D. Neumark
本文考察了劳动力市场“搅动”或“流动”初期的后果，以帮助评估是否像“从学校到工作”计划的倡导者所设想的那样，更快地过渡到稳定的就业关系，可能会带来更好的成人劳动力市场结果。对1979 - 1992年全国青年纵向调查（National Longitudinal Survey of Youth）数据的分析最多只能得出一些证据，证明早期就业市场的稳定与更好的劳动力市场结果有关。作者发现，无论男女，成年劳动力市场的结果（定义为20多岁或30岁出头到35岁左右）在很大程度上与早期劳动力市场经历无关。这一证据并不支持以学校到工作的转变为明确目标的努力，因为这样做意味着改变青年劳动力市场的结构，从而使工人对雇主、行业或职业形成更早、更牢固的依恋。
This paper examines the consequences of initial periods of “churning” or “mobility” in the labor market, to help assess whether faster transitions to stable employment relationships—as envisioned by advocates of school-to-work programs—would be likely to lead to better adult labor market outcomes. An analysis of National Longitudinal Survey of Youth data for the years 1979–92 yields modest evidence, at best, linking early job market stability to better labor market outcomes. The authors find that for both genders, adult labor market outcomes (defined as of the late 20s or early to mid-30s) are for the most part unrelated to early labor market experiences. This evidence does not support efforts to explicitly target the school-to-work transition, insofar as doing so implies changing the structure of youth labor markets so that workers form earlier and firmer attachments to employers, industries, or occupations.