Regional meteorological-marine reanalyses and climate change projections: Results for Northern Europe and potential for coastal and offshore Applications
Regional meteorological-marine reanalyses and climate change projections: Results for Northern Europe and potential for coastal and offshore Applications
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DOI：
10.1175/2008bams2713.1
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发表时间：
2009-06
影响因子：
8
通讯作者：
R. Weisse;H. Storch;U. Callies;A. Chrastansky;F. Feser;I. Grabemann;H. Günther;A. Pluess;T. Stoye;J. Tellkamp;J. Winterfeldt;K. Woth
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文献类型：
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作者：
R. Weisse;H. Storch;U. Callies;A. Chrastansky;F. Feser;I. Grabemann;H. Günther;A. Pluess;T. Stoye;J. Tellkamp;J. Winterfeldt;K. Woth
汇编了来自不同来源的北欧未来沿海天气分析和气候变化情景。它们不包含直接测量结果，而是由观测数据驱动的数值模型的结果，以便尽可能最好地表示观测到的过去条件或不久的将来的气候变化情景。与有限的观测数据相比，模型数据在长期统计方面质量良好，例如风速和波高的多年返回值。这些模型数据提供了一致的大气、海洋、海况和其他高空间和时间细节参数的独特组合，甚至对于尚未进行测量的地点和变量也是如此。此外，近期的沿海情景以一致的方式补充了过去条件的数值分析。数据的支柱是区域风、波浪和风暴潮的后报和......
A compilation of coastal weather analyses and climate change scenarios for the future for northern Europe from various sources is presented. They contain no direct measurements but results from numerical models that have been driven either by observed data in order to achieve the best possible representation of observed past conditions or by climate change scenarios for the near future. A comparison with the limited number of observational data points to the good quality of the model data in terms of long-term statistics, such as multiyear return values of wind speed and wave heights. These model data provide a unique combination of consistent atmospheric, oceanic, sea state, and other parameters at high spatial and temporal detail, even for places and variables for which no measurements have been made. In addition, coastal scenarios for the near future complement the numerical analyses of past conditions in a consistent way. The backbones of the data are regional wind, wave, and storm surge hindcasts and...