Optimal fuzzy inference for short-term load forecasting

Optimal fuzzy inference for short-term load forecasting
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DOI:
10.1109/pica.1995.515200
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发表时间:
1995-05
期刊:
Proceedings of Power Industry Computer Applications Conference
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
H. Mori;H. Kobayashi
H. Mori;H. Kobayashi
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
H. Mori;H. Kobayashi

文献摘要

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本文提出了一种用于短期负荷预测的最优模糊推理方法。所提出的方法构造了一个简化的模糊推理,最大限度地减少模型误差和隶属函数的数量掌握电力系统短期负荷的非线性行为的最佳结构。采用模拟退火法和最速下降法对模型进行辨识。所提出的方法是证明在例子中。
This paper proposes an optimal fuzzy inference method for short-term load forecasting. The proposed method constructs an optimal structure of the simplified fuzzy inference that minimizes model errors and the number of the membership functions to grasp nonlinear behavior of power system short-term loads. The model is identified by simulated annealing and the steepest descent method. The proposed method is demonstrated in examples.