The Impact of Religion on Voting Behaviour - A Multilevel Approach for Switzerland
The Impact of Religion on Voting Behaviour - A Multilevel Approach for Switzerland
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DOI：
10.1111/spsr.12068
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发表时间：
2014-06-01
影响因子：
2.1
通讯作者：
Goldberg, Andreas C.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Goldberg, Andreas C.
据报道，社会阶层或宗教等传统分歧常常失去了对投票决定的解释力。关于宗教分裂，根据案例的选择和所使用的指标，证据是模糊的。本研究使用 2007 年和 2011 年瑞士全国选举的数据测试了宗教对瑞士基督教民主党 (CVP) 投票偏好的影响。除了包含单个变量之外，还特别关注情境效应。估计的分层线性模型证实了简单的个体因素的普遍影响以及显着的背景效应的存在。还提供了一些假设的个人和背景宗教变量之间相互作用的统计证据。
The traditional cleavages like social class or religion are often reported to have lost explanatory power for the voting decision. Regarding the religious cleavage, the evidence is ambiguous depending on the choice of cases and indicators used. The present study tests the impact of religion for the preference to vote the Christian Democratic Party of Switzerland (CVP) using data from the 2007 and 2011 Swiss national elections. Additional to the inclusion of individual variables, a special focus lies on contextual effects. The estimated hierarchical linear models confirm a prevailing influence of the simple individual factors and the presence of a significant contextual effect. Statistical evidence is also presented for some of the supposed interaction effects between individual and contextual religious variables.