Know Thyself: Competence and Self-awareness

Know Thyself: Competence and Self-awareness
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了解你自己:能力和自我意识

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发表时间:
2010
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通讯作者:
P. Ferraro
P. Ferraro
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作者:
P. Ferraro

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对不对称信息的经济学分析通常始于这样的假设,即个人比外部观察者更了解自己的特征。这一假设意味着,个人可以准确地评估自己在给定领域的能力。然而,个人只有在足够胜任的情况下才能判断自己的能力。现场实验的结果与假设自我意识代理人的经济理论的预测相矛盾,但与包含给定领域能力和自我意识之间正相关的理论的预测一致。这种相关性解释了在经济主体中观察到的一些过度自信,并暗示了一种关于决策错误的结构,可以利用这种结构在重要的经济学领域做出新的预测。
Economic analysis of asymmetric information typically starts with the assumption that individuals know more about their own characteristics than outside observers. This assumption implies that individuals can accurately assess their own competence in a given domain. However, individuals can only judge their competence if they are sufficiently competent. Results from field experiments contradict predictions from economic theories that assume self-aware agents, but are consistent with predictions from theories that incorporate a positive correlation between competence and self-awareness in a given domain. This correlation explains some of the overconfidence observed among economic agents and implies a structure on decision errors that can be exploited to make novel predictions in important areas of economics.