On the decadal rates of sea level change during the twentieth century
On the decadal rates of sea level change during the twentieth century
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DOI：
10.1029/2006gl028492
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发表时间：
2007-01-04
影响因子：
5.2
通讯作者：
Holgate, S. J.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Holgate, S. J.
从世界各地挑选了九个长期且几乎连续的海平面记录，以探索1904-2003年海平面的变化率。这些记录记录了在过去半个世纪中研究过的更多站点中发现的变异性。将整个世纪的海平面记录向前延伸表明，在过去20年中观察到的海平面变化速度的高变异性并不是特别不寻常。上个世纪前期海平面变化速率(2.03+/-0.35 mm/yr1904-1953)大于上世纪后期(1.45+/-0.34 mm/yr1954-2003)。年代际增长率最高的是以1980年为中心的十年(5.31毫米/年)，最低的是以1964年为中心的十年(-1.49毫米/年)。在整个世纪中，平均变化率为1.74+/-0.16毫米/年。
Nine long and nearly continuous sea level records were chosen from around the world to explore rates of change in sea level for 1904 - 2003. These records were found to capture the variability found in a larger number of stations over the last half century studied previously. Extending the sea level record back over the entire century suggests that the high variability in the rates of sea level change observed over the past 20 years were not particularly unusual. The rate of sea level change was found to be larger in the early part of last century (2.03 +/- 0.35 mm/yr 1904 - 1953), in comparison with the latter part ( 1.45 +/- 0.34 mm/yr 1954 - 2003). The highest decadal rate of rise occurred in the decade centred on 1980 (5.31 mm/yr) with the lowest rate of rise occurring in the decade centred on 1964 ( - 1.49 mm/yr). Over the entire century the mean rate of change was 1.74 +/- 0.16 mm/yr.