The Magnitude and Cyclical Behavior of Financial Market Frictions

The Magnitude and Cyclical Behavior of Financial Market Frictions
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金融市场摩擦的程度和周期性行为

DOI:
10.2139/ssrn.655363
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发表时间:
2004
期刊:
Board of Governors: Finance & Economics Discussion Series (Topic)
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Egon Zakraǰsek
Egon Zakraǰsek
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Andrew T. Levin;F. Natalucci;Egon Zakraǰsek

文献摘要

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我们量化的横截面和时间序列的行为之间的外部和内部融资成本的楔形估计的结构参数的典型债务合同模型与信息摩擦。为此,我们构建了一个新的数据集,其中包括资产负债表信息,预期违约风险的措施,并在1997年第一季度至2003年第三季度期间约900家美国公司的公开交易债务的信用利差。使用非线性最小二乘法,我们得到精确的时间特定的破产成本参数的估计和一致拒绝无摩擦金融市场的零假设。对于我们样本中的大多数公司来说,在1997-99年扩张期,外部融资的估计溢价非常低,但在2000年急剧上升--特别是对于债务与股本比率较高的公司--并且一直保持高位直到2003年初。
We quantify the cross-sectional and time-series behavior of the wedge between the cost of external and internal finance by estimating the structural parameters of a canonical debt-contracting model with informational frictions. For this purpose, we construct a new dataset that includes balance sheet information, measures of expected default risk, and credit spreads on publicly traded debt for about 900 U.S. firms over the period 1997Q1 to 2003Q3. Using nonlinear least squares, we obtain precise time-specific estimates of the bankruptcy cost parameter and consistently reject the null hypothesis of frictionless financial markets. For most of the firms in our sample, the estimated premium on external finance was very low during the expansionary period 1997-99, but rose sharply in 2000--especially for firms with higher ratios of debt to equity--and remained elevated until early 2003.