Different Class? UKIP's Social Base and Political Impact: A Reply to Evans and Mellon

Different Class? UKIP's Social Base and Political Impact: A Reply to Evans and Mellon
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DOI:
10.1093/pa/gsv012
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发表时间:
2016
影响因子:
1.2
通讯作者:
M. Goodwin
M. Goodwin
中科院分区:
法学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
R. Ford;M. Goodwin

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埃文斯和梅隆的《工人阶级的选票和保守党的损失:解决英国独立党之谜》试图解决一个难题:英国独立党在传统工人阶级选民和工党控制的选区中获得的大量支持,如何与目前大多数英国独立党支持者回忆起2010年投票给保守党的证据相协调?埃文斯和梅隆(2015,议会事务杂志,doi:10.1093/pa/gsv005)。提出两个论点来解决这个难题。首先,由于未能考虑到长期的政治转变,英国独立党的政治影响一直被误解。第二,支持英国独立党的阶级基础由于糟糕的阶级测量而被误解。我们发现在这两点上有很多是一致的。本回复的重点是澄清我们在三个问题上的论点:英国独立党支持的社会基础;价值观分歧的作用,地理和选举制度对理解英国独立党长期前景的重要性。
Evans and Mellon's ‘Working class votes and Conservative losses: solving the UKIP puzzle’ seeks to resolve a puzzle: how substantial levels of UKIP support among traditional working class voters, and in Labour-held constituencies, can be reconciled with evidence that a majority of current UKIP supporters recall voting for the Conservatives in 2010. Evans and Mellon (2015, Journal of Parliamentary Affairs, doi:10.1093/pa/gsv005). advance two arguments to resolve this puzzle. First, that the political impact of UKIP has been misunderstood due to a failure to consider long-term political shifts. Second, that the class basis of support for UKIP has been misunderstood due to poor measures of class. We find much to agree with on both of these points. This reply focuses on clarifying our arguments on three issues: the social basis of UKIP support; the role of value divisions and the importance of geography and the electoral system for understanding UKIP's longer-term prospects.