Prediction of Susceptibility to First-Line Tuberculosis Drugs by DNA Sequencing.
Prediction of Susceptibility to First-Line Tuberculosis Drugs by DNA Sequencing.
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DOI:
10.1056/nejmoa1800474
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发表时间:
2018-10-11
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Zhu B
中科院分区:
文献类型:
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作者:
CRyPTIC Consortium and the 100,000 Genomes Project;Allix-Béguec C;Arandjelovic I;Bi L;Beckert P;Bonnet M;Bradley P;Cabibbe AM;Cancino-Muñoz I;Caulfield MJ;Chaiprasert A;Cirillo DM;Clifton DA;Comas I;Crook DW;De Filippo MR;de Neeling H;Diel R;Drobniewski FA;Faksri K;Farhat MR;Fleming J;Fowler P;Fowler TA;Gao Q;Gardy J;Gascoyne-Binzi D;Gibertoni-Cruz AL;Gil-Brusola A;Golubchik T;Gonzalo X;Grandjean L;He G;Guthrie JL;Hoosdally S;Hunt M;Iqbal Z;Ismail N;Johnston J;Khanzada FM;Khor CC;Kohl TA;Kong C;Lipworth S;Liu Q;Maphalala G;Martinez E;Mathys V;Merker M;Miotto P;Mistry N;Moore DAJ;Murray M;Niemann S;Omar SV;Ong RT;Peto TEA;Posey JE;Prammananan T;Pym A;Rodrigues C;Rodrigues M;Rodwell T;Rossolini GM;Sánchez Padilla E;Schito M;Shen X;Shendure J;Sintchenko V;Sloutsky A;Smith EG;Snyder M;Soetaert K;Starks AM;Supply P;Suriyapol P;Tahseen S;Tang P;Teo YY;Thuong TNT;Thwaites G;Tortoli E;van Soolingen D;Walker AS;Walker TM;Wilcox M;Wilson DJ;Wyllie D;Yang Y;Zhang H;Zhao Y;Zhu B
The World Health Organization recommends universal drug susceptibility testing for Mycobacterium tuberculosis complex to guide treatment decisions and improve outcomes. We assessed whether DNA sequencing can accurately predict antibiotic susceptibility profiles for first-line anti-tuberculosis drugs. Whole-genome sequences and associated phenotypes to isoniazid, rifampicin, ethambutol and pyrazinamide were obtained for isolates from 16 countries across six continents. For each isolate, mutations associated with drug-resistance and drug-susceptibility were identified across nine genes, and individual phenotypes were predicted unless mutations of unknown association were also present. To identify how whole-genome sequencing might direct first-line drug therapy, complete susceptibility profiles were predicted. These were predicted to be pan-susceptible if predicted susceptible to isoniazid and to other drugs, or contained mutations of unknown association in genes affecting these other drugs. We simulated how negative predictive value changed with drug-resistance prevalence. 10,209 isolates were analysed. The greatest proportion of phenotypes were predicted for rifampicin (9,660/10,130; (95.4%)) and the lowest for ethambutol (8,794/9,794; (89.8%)). Isoniazid, rifampicin, ethambutol and pyrazinamide resistance was correctly predicted with 97.1%, 97.5% 94.6% and 91.3% sensitivity, and susceptibility with 99.0%, 98.8%, 93.6% and 96.8% specificity, respectively. 5,250 (89.5%) drug profiles were correctly predicted for 5,865/7,516 (78.0%) isolates with complete phenotypic profiles. Among these, 3,952/4,037 (97.9%) predictions of pan-susceptibility were correct. The negative predictive value for 97.5% of simulated drug profiles exceeded 95% where the prevalence of drug-resistance was below 47.0%. Phenotypic testing for first-line drugs can be phased down in favour of DNA sequencing to guide anti- tuberculosis drug therapy.