ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE WIND TURBINE OPERATION & MAINTENANCE USING A NOVEL TIME DOMAIN METEO-OCEAN MODELING APPROACH

ANALYSIS OF OFFSHORE WIND TURBINE OPERATION & MAINTENANCE USING A NOVEL TIME DOMAIN METEO-OCEAN MODELING APPROACH
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海上风机运行分析

DOI:
10.1115/gt2012-68985
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发表时间:
2012
期刊:
影响因子:
4.1
通讯作者:
F. Quail
F. Quail
中科院分区:
工程技术3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
I. Dinwoodie;D. McMillan;F. Quail

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本文提出了一种新的修复建模方法,该方法使用一个时域自回归模型来描述气象站的情况。捕获了站点数据的短期每小时相关性、时段到天数的中期访问窗口和年度分布。此外,还包括季节性因素。如果存在同步数据,则可以合并风场和海浪站点之间观察到的相关性。用这种方法描述了有效波高和平均风速的时间序列。这允许MTTR在可靠性模拟中作为一个可变过程实施,取决于有效波高。该方法自动捕获站点特征,包括季节性,并允许使用依赖时间的约束(如要实现的工作模式)进行复杂的分析。文中还给出了一个由并发模拟风速决定的收入损失的简单成本模型。对不同现有站点的部件可靠性和访问门槛对可用性的影响进行了初步研究,证明了该建模方法能够为海上风电机组的运行和维护提供新的见解。
This paper presents a novel approach to repair modeling using a time domain Auto-Regressive model to represent meteo-ocean site conditions. The short term hourly correlations, medium term access windows of periods up to days and the annual distibution of site data are captured. In addition, seasonality is included. Correlation observed between wind and wave site can be incorporated if simultaneous data exists. Using this approach a time series for both significant wave height and mean wind speed is described. This allows MTTR to be implemented within the reliability simulation as a variable process, dependent on significant wave height. This approach automatically captures site characteristics including seasonality and allows for complex analysis using time dependent constaints such as working patterns to be implemented. A simple cost model for lost revenues determined by the concurrent simulated wind speed is also presented. A preliminary investigation of the influence of component reliability and access thresholds at various existing sites on availability is presented demonstrating the abiltiy of the modeling approach to offer new insights into offshore wind turbine operation and maintenance.
统计风模型在系统影响中的应用
DOI: --
发表时间: --
期刊: --
影响因子: --
作者:
David Hill (Author)
通讯作者: David Hill (Author)