Seasonal Peak Electricity Demand Characteristics: Japan Case Study
Seasonal Peak Electricity Demand Characteristics: Japan Case Study
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季节性高峰电力需求特征：日本案例研究
DOI：
10.11648/j.ijepe.20130203.18
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发表时间：
2013
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Y. S. Akil and H. Miyauchi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
J. Sakaguchi;H. Miyauchi and T. Misawa;藤田岳彦 川西泰裕;藤田岳彦 川西泰裕;Y. S. Akil and H. Miyauchi
由于需要不断保持电力供需平衡，需求分析是必要的，因为它可以提供必要的信息来管理电力系统的运行。本研究通过建立每个季节的小时需求回归模型，对日本商业区的季节性高峰需求特征进行了调查。气象参数和现有节假日被认为是需求驱动因素。对模型进行了许多标准的统计检验。从结果中，可以通过模型揭示每个季节高峰期(白天和晚上)商业需求与关键驱动因素之间的典型联系形式。了解更详细的需求特征，特别是在高负荷时段，可以帮助公用事业公司始终保持电力系统的预期最优运行和为用户提供服务。
Because of the need to keep balancing between electricity supply and demand continuously, a demand analysis is necessary as it can provide essential information to manage operation of a power system. This study presents a seasonal peak demand characteristics investigation for commercial area in Japan by developing hourly demand regression models for each season. Meteorological parameters and existing holidays are considered as demand drivers. Many standard statistical tests are applied to the models. From results, typical forms of link between commercial demand and key drivers at peak hours (daytime and evening) in each season can be revealed through the models. Knowing more detail characteristic of a demand particularly during high load hours can help utilities to maintain expected optimal operation of power systems and service to consumers all the time.