The ongoing energy transition: Lessons from a socio-technical, multi-level analysis of the Dutch electricity system (1960-2004)

The ongoing energy transition: Lessons from a socio-technical, multi-level analysis of the Dutch electricity system (1960-2004)
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DOI:
10.1016/j.enpol.2006.02.010
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发表时间:
2007-02
期刊:
影响因子:
9
通讯作者:
G. Verbong;F. Geels
G. Verbong;F. Geels
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
G. Verbong;F. Geels

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能源向可持续发展的过渡在政治和科学方面引起了很大的兴趣。使用社会技术和多层次的理论转型,本文从荷兰电力系统的长期分析中吸取了重要的经验教训。本文分析了技术发展、规则和愿景的变化,以及支持和反对可再生能源选择的社交网络。这篇文章是多层次的,因为它着眼于新的可再生能源技术和现有电力制度的结构趋势。分析表明,能源转型始于20世纪60年代和70年代,已经发生,但主要是由自由化和欧洲化推动的。环境因素已成为这一持续转型的一部分,但并不构成其主要驱动力。可持续性转型存在许多障碍,但也存在一些机会。对可再生能源利基创新轨迹(风能、生物质、光伏)的长期分析提供了有关社会技术动态、问题和机会之窗的经验教训。
Energy transitions to sustainability receive much interest in politics and science. Using a socio-technical and multi-level theory on transitions, this article draws important lessons from a long-term analysis of the Dutch electricity system. The article analyses technical developments, changes in rules and visions, and social networks that support and oppose renewable options. The article is multi-level because it looks at novel renewable energy technologies and structural trends in the existing electricity regime. The analysis shows that an energy transition, with roots in the 1960s and 1970s, is already occurring, but driven mainly by liberalisation and Europeanisation. Environmental aspects have become part of this ongoing transition, but do not form its main driver. Many barriers exist for a sustainability transition, but there are also some opportunities. A long-term analysis of renewable niche-innovation trajectories (wind, biomass, PV) provides lessons about socio-technical dynamics, problems and windows of opportunity.