Long run effects and intergenerational transmission of natural disasters: A case study on the 1970 Ancash Earthquake
Long run effects and intergenerational transmission of natural disasters: A case study on the 1970 Ancash Earthquake
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DOI：
10.1016/j.jdeveco.2015.07.012
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发表时间：
2015-11-01
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
Miller, Sebastian
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Caruso, German;Miller, Sebastian
这项研究估计了1970年安卡什地震对人力资本积累的影响，对受影响的后代，37年后的冲击，使用秘鲁1993年和2007年的人口普查。主要调查结果是，受地震影响的男性在子宫内完成的学业平均少0.5年，而受地震影响的女性完成的学业少0.8年。此外，那些受地震影响的人在婚姻市场上的表现也要差得多，成为父母的年龄要小得多。此外，母亲在出生时受地震影响的儿童受教育年限减少0.4年，而父亲在出生时受地震影响的儿童则没有受到影响。其他结果也表明，从长远来看，受影响个人的福利受到了负面影响。这项研究支持了以前关于幼儿期冲击的文献，提供了冲击代际传递存在的证据。(C)2015爱思唯尔B.V.保留所有权利。
This study estimates the effects of the 1970 Ancash earthquake on human capital accumulation on the affected and subsequent generation, 37 years after the shock, using Peruvian census of 1993 and 2007. The main finding is that males affected by the earthquake in utero completed on average 0.5 years less schooling while females affected by the earthquake completed 0.8 years less schooling. Moreover those affected by the earthquake also fare far worse in the marriage market and become parents at a much younger age. In addition children of mothers affected at birth by the earthquake have 0.4 less years of education, while those whose fathers were affected at birth show no effects. Other outcomes also suggest that welfare of the affected individuals has been negatively impacted in the long run. This research supports previous literature on shocks in early childhood, providing evidence of the existence of intergenerational transmission of shocks. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.