An Empirical Assessment of the Impact of Trade on Employment in the United Kingdom
An Empirical Assessment of the Impact of Trade on Employment in the United Kingdom
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英国贸易对就业影响的实证评估
DOI：
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发表时间：
1999
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
E. Rafailov
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
E. Zharkikh;Y. Loktionova;I. Kozlov;A. Zherebtsova;V. Sidorov;E. Zherebtsov;A. Dunaev;E. Rafailov
本文以英国167个制造业为样本，研究了贸易对行业层面就业结果的影响。我们建立在一个动态的劳动力需求方程，并纳入1979年至1991年的面板框架的进口和出口。我们发现，贸易量的增加，无论是在进口和出口方面，导致派生劳动力需求水平的下降。这与以下观点是一致的，即增加开放有助于提高企业内部劳动力利用的效率。然而，我们的研究结果发现，有限的证据表明，潜在的替代外国国内工人增加了工资弹性的劳动力需求函数。此外，与民粹主义观点相反，与东亚和日本贸易的约束效应似乎不如与欧盟进口相关的效应明显。纲要
This paper investigates the impact of trade on industry level employment outcomes for a sample of 167 manufacturing industries in the United Kingdom. We build on a dynamic labour demand equation and incorporate imports and exports in a panel framework from 1979-1991. We find that increases in trade volumes, both in terms of imports and exports, cause reductions in the level of derived labour demand. This is consistent with the view that increased openness serves to increase the efficiency with which labour is utilised within the firm. Our results however find limited evidence that the potential for substituting foreign for domestic workers increases the wage elasticity of the derived labour demand function. Also, contrary to the populist view, the disciplining effects of trade with East Asia and Japan appears to be less marked than that associated with imports from the EU. Outline