In the wind: Invasive species travel along predictable atmospheric pathways
In the wind: Invasive species travel along predictable atmospheric pathways
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在风中：入侵物种沿着可预测的大气路径传播
DOI：
10.1002/eap.2806
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发表时间：
2023
影响因子：
5
通讯作者：
Strand, Tara M.
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Pretorius, Ilze;Schou, Wayne C.;Richardson, Brian;Ross, Shane D.;Withers, Toni M.;Schmale, David G.;Strand, Tara M.
入侵物种，如昆虫，病原体和杂草，通过随风传播到达新的环境，对管理和自然生态系统中的人类，动物和植物健康构成了无法量化和难以管理的生物安全威胁。尽管这些入侵事件的重要性，其复杂性反映在缺乏工具来预测它们。在这里，我们提供了第一个已知的证据，表明入侵昆虫和野火烟雾（入侵物种的潜在载体）的长距离空中传播是由称为拉格朗日相干结构（LCS）的大气路径驱动的。将LCS建模与物种生物学和大气生存相结合的好氧生物学建模系统有可能改变对大气入侵的理解和预测。在预测或后报模式下运行的拟议建模系统可以通知高风险入侵事件和入侵源位置，从而可以及早定位它们，提高根除成功的机会。
Invasive species such as insects, pathogens, and weeds reaching new environments by traveling with the wind, represent unquantified and difficult‐to‐manage biosecurity threats to human, animal, and plant health in managed and natural ecosystems. Despite the importance of these invasion events, their complexity is reflected by the lack of tools to predict them. Here, we provide the first known evidence showing that the long‐distance aerial dispersal of invasive insects and wildfire smoke, a potential carrier of invasive species, is driven by atmospheric pathways known as Lagrangian coherent structures (LCS). An aerobiological modeling system combining LCS modeling with species biology and atmospheric survival has the potential to transform the understanding and prediction of atmospheric invasions. The proposed modeling system run in forecast or hindcast modes can inform high‐risk invasion events and invasion source locations, making it possible to locate them early, improving the chances of eradication success.