Effect of diurnal temperature range on outpatient visits for common cold in Shanghai, China

Effect of diurnal temperature range on outpatient visits for common cold in Shanghai, China
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上海市昼夜温差对普通感冒门诊就诊量的影响

DOI:
10.1007/s11356-019-06805-4
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发表时间:
2020-01-01
影响因子:
5.8
通讯作者:
Zhou, Ji
Zhou, Ji
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Ma, Yuxia;Yang, Sixu;Zhou, Ji

文献摘要

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评估昼夜温度范围(DTR)与从2008年1月1日至2010年12月31日在上海都会区的普通感冒的门诊就诊数量之间的相关性;我们将分布式滞后非线性模型与泊松回归模型一起使用。控制因素包括长期趋势和一周中的日子,在普通感冒和所选天气元素的门诊就诊。整个研究组分为三个不同年龄的亚组,包括= 65岁。我们发现DTR和日常门诊就诊之间的一些非线性J-Pattern以进行普通感冒。在滞后0天,普通感冒的门诊就诊数量将增加每1度C的DTR增加11.1%。 DTR越大,对普通感冒的门诊就诊越多,尤其是在> = 65岁的年龄组中。此外,与一年中其他季节相比,DTR在春季和冬季的门诊就诊中起着更重要的作用。我们的研究表明,DTR是导致普通感冒的危险因素。这项研究的结果可以为地方当局提供科学证据,以改善医疗保健系统的预防措施。
To evaluate the correlations between diurnal temperature range (DTR) and the number of outpatient visits for common cold from Jan. 1, 2008, to Dec. 31, 2010, in the Shanghai metro area; we used a distributed lag non-linear model together with a Poisson regression model. The controlling factors included long-term trends and day of the week in outpatient visits for common cold and the selected weather elements. The entire study group was divided into three different age subgroups, including = 65 years old. We found some non-linear J-patterns between DTR and daily outpatient visits for common cold. At lag 0 day, the number of outpatient visits for common cold would increase by 11.1% per 1 degrees C increase in DTR. The greater the DTR, the more it affects outpatient visits for common cold, especially for the >= 65 years age group. In addition, DTR plays a more important role in outpatient visits for common cold in spring and winter compared with other seasons of the year. Our study showed that DTR is a risk factor that contributes to common cold. Results in this study can provide scientific evidence for the local authorities in improving preventive measures of the healthcare system.