Agent-based Simulation for Sustainable Management of Supply Chain and Natural Resources: Basic Model
Agent-based Simulation for Sustainable Management of Supply Chain and Natural Resources: Basic Model
复制标题
基于代理的供应链和自然资源可持续管理仿真：基本模型
DOI：
10.1007/978-3-030-72132-9_36
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发表时间：
2021
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Keiko Zaima
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
桐山 昇;栗原 浩英;根本 敬;Keiko Zaima
本研究的目的是发展一个以代理人为基础的模型，包括供应链和资源管理，以调查不断变化的业务规则和政策的影响。在本文中，基本模型的建议，并从模拟结果提供。通过对基本模型的模拟，得到了两种模式。在第一种模式中，资源迅速枯竭，经济无法持续。在第二种模式中，资源达到了可持续的水平，但社会在经济上无法持续。在这两种模式下，产品浪费发生在商店，虽然在不同的水平。从这些结果可以看出，基本模型能够准确地再现环境与经济之间的权衡。本文讨论了两个应用：情景分析和博弈模拟。可以设计情景分析来说明供应链中粮食损失和浪费的一些问题以及与浪费和自然资源管理的关系。游戏模拟可以使用混合模拟来设计用于消费者教育和商业游戏。
The purpose of this study was to develop an agent-based model including both supply chain and resource management in order to investigate the effects of changing business rules and policy. In this paper, the basic model is suggested and the results from the simulation is provided. Two patterns were obtained from the simulations of the basic model. In the first pattern, resources are depleted rapidly and the economy is not sustained. In the second pattern, the resource reached a sustainable level, but society was not economically sustained. In both patterns, product waste occurred in the store, although at different levels. From these results, it is apparent that the basic model can accurately reproduce the situation in which a trade-off between the environment and the economy occurs. In this paper, two applications were discussed: scenario analysis and gaming simulation. Scenario analyses can be designed to illustrate some of the issues concerning food loss and waste in the supply chain and the relationship with waste and natural resource management. Gaming simulations can be designed for consumer education and business gaming using hybrid simulation.