American Economic Association-猫眼课题宝

DOI：

10.1111/j.1475-4932.1945.tb01151.x

发表时间：

1891-05

期刊：

The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science

影响因子：

通讯作者：

中科院分区：

其他

文献类型：

作者：

Causality Author;Christopher A Sims

（i v e n tile c u r r r r r r e n t p o l i t i t i c a l and and Econlus e n v i n〜e n t t，i t i t i t i s i s u n l i k e l y t h a t h a n n n n n n n n n n n n n n n n n n n n nek new l〜n l〜e l〜e n l l〜e n l l〜i l〜i l i l i l i l i l i l i l i l i l h e l h e l。 t a l〜o u t o r 5 n〜l l i o f t h e p o o r *iv'c。〜r l l，纽约，纽约50 vande rh i l t a t h e l a t e 1 9 7 0's we] -e cc）mpic.t.t.t.t.t.t.t.t.t.t. 1 B I I L I O〜〜i n 1977 l i i〜a v c c c c c o v e d i l l a m e d i d i c a i d t y d t y p e p rog rog rag ram t l〜e 1..4 m i l i l i l i l i l i o n i o n i n i n i n i n i n i n i n s u r e r e d p o o r e d p o o d p o o r w l〜 L E A S T A N A D I T I T I O R〜〜l L 4。 8 m i l i o o n o f t h e i n c r e a a s e a i n p o v e r t y p o p o p o p o p o p u l a t i o n s i n c e n c e n c e 1977是Uninus7-ed的，并且T h a t a b o u t a b o u t 30 p e r c e r c e n t o r r 1。 4 m i l i l i o n a r e l l l h e l y l y t o n p o o r 11e，iltl1。？ h e c o s t o i e e x t e n d i n d i n d i c a i d t y d t y p e p rog rog rag ram t o t l〜i s popu l t i t i con i con in t i d d d i t i t i o n a l $ 1 $ 1。 6 b i l i o n。 A l though $3.2 h i l l i o n i s a l a r g e sum o i money, l m l f (7f t l ~ i s anlount 15 d u e t o a d o u b l i n g o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n i n j e o p a r d y . I h u s , a s t h e economy h e g i n s t o r e c o v e r f rom L l ~ e c u r r e n t r e c e s s s i o n，t h e c o \ t o f t h e p rog rog rag s h o u l d d d e c l d d e c l i n e s t a n l i a l y l y l y a l y a monte carl0随机系数回归估计量的研究

( i i v e n tile c u r r e n t p o l i t i c a l and economic e n v i r u n n ~ e n t , i t i s u n l i k e l y t h a t any m a j o r new l ~ e n l t l ~ i l l i t i a t i v e s w i l l h e imp le~nen tc t l . An c ; ~ r l ic.r s t ~ ~ d y indicated t h a t a l ~ o u t o r 5 n ~ ~ l l i o n o f t h e p o o r *Iv'c. woiild a ~ ~ p r e c i a t e r a d e r s ' conL I i b u t io11s f o r t h e s e c o l ~ u n n s . Send t o i l l e t a 11slar1i S t y e r s , Box 7 , T11e Y a l e ( : l ~ r l l , 50 Vande rh i l t Avenue, New York, New York 10017 i n t h e l a t e 1 9 7 0 ' s we]-e cc)mpic.t.cly w i t h o u t h e a l t h i n s u r a ~ ~ c e c o v e r a g e . K c estim'lte Lhat i t woulil h a v e c o s t a l lou t $ 1 b i i l i o ~ ~ i n 1977 L L I I ~ a v c c o v e r e d i l l a M e d i c a i d t y p e p rog ram t l ~ e 1..4 m i l l i o n u n i n s u r e d p o o r w l ~ o were 5 i c k a n d a b o u t $ 1 . 6 L i l l i o n i n 1982 . We e s t i m a t e t h a t a t l e a s t a n a d d i t i o r ~ ~ l l 4 . 8 m i l l i o n o f t h e i n c r e a s e i n the p o v e r t y p o p u l a t i o n s i n c e 1977 are uninus7-ed and t h a t a b o u t 30 p e r c e n t o r 1 . 4 m i l l i o n a r e l l h e l y t o he i n p o o r 11e,iltl1. ? h e c o s t o i e x t e n d i n g a M n d i c a i d t y p e p rog ram t o t l ~ i s popu la t i con would he .In a d d i t i o n a l $ 1 . 6 b i l l i o n . A l though $3.2 h i l l i o n i s a l a r g e sum o i money, l m l f (7f t l ~ i s anlount 15 d u e t o a d o u b l i n g o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n i n j e o p a r d y . I h u s , a s t h e economy h e g i n s t o r e c o v e r f rom L l ~ e c u r r e n t r e c e s s i o n , t h e c o \ t o f t h e p rog ram s h o u l d d e c l i n e s u h s t a n l i a l l y A MONTE CARL0 STUDY OF RANDOM COEFFICIENT REGRESSION ESTIMATORS B Y JOAN G . HAWORTH AND E R I C COOK

American Economic Association

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