The need for unrealistic experiments in global change biology
The need for unrealistic experiments in global change biology
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DOI：
10.1101/2021.12.07.471575
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发表时间：
2021-12
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Collins;Mridul K. Thomas
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Collins;Mridul K. Thomas
气候变化是一个生存威胁，我们进行生物体如何应对气候变化的实验的能力受到后勤和资源的限制，因此实验发挥最大作用至关重要。大多数浮游植物对变暖和二氧化碳反应的实验仅使用每个驱动因素的两个水平。然而，为了预测未来种群的特征，我们需要对浮游植物如何响应温度和二氧化碳的同时变化做出机械和普遍的解释。这需要对更多驾驶员级别进行实验，以产生有助于开发预测模型的响应面。我们建议优先考虑在多个尺度上为浮游植物产生此类响应面的实验或计划。
Climate change is an existential threat, and our ability to conduct experiments on how organisms will respond to it is limited by logistics and resources, making it vital that experiments be maximally useful. The majority of experiments on phytoplankton responses to warming and CO2 use only two levels of each driver. However, to project the characters of future populations, we need a mechanistic and generalizable explanation for how phytoplankton respond to concurrent changes in temperature and CO2. This requires experiments with more driver levels, to produce response surfaces that can aid in the development of predictive models. We recommend prioritizing experiments or programmes that produce such response surfaces on multiple scales for phytoplankton.