Measuring the Impact of Out-of-town Retail Development on Town Centre Retail Property in England and Wales
Measuring the Impact of Out-of-town Retail Development on Town Centre Retail Property in England and Wales
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DOI：
10.1007/s12061-014-9111-5
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发表时间：
2014-12-01
影响因子：
1.9
通讯作者：
Thurstain-Goodwin, Mark
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Astbury, Gaynor;Thurstain-Goodwin, Mark
这项研究是对2005年至2010年英格兰和威尔士零售市场的定量调查。我们研究了零售业在空间和时间上的表现，特别是在经济衰退时期，市中心的活动和大型非中心零售业的影响。我们还估计了城镇中心或非中心位置为地方政府产生的相对收入，以按地理位置提出市场重要性。尽管30多年来对分散计划的影响进行了广泛讨论，但没有详细的研究量化这种影响;结果旨在解决目前全国范围内经验证据的差距。我们使用估价办公室机构（VOA）的业务费率作为代理绩效衡量标准，并使用地理统计学定义的城镇中心边界，以创建一个全国性和统计学一致的方法。企业“应课差饷租值”的变化是经济表现的一个方面，使用地理信息系统（GIS）的空间分析使我们能够说明这些地区在同一时期的国家经济市场的表现。在同一时间框架内确定了新的中心外大型零售开发项目，以确定新开发项目与邻近城镇中心的弹性之间的任何相关性。该研究强调了多尺度力量和影响模式，并发现了新的中心外大型零售开发项目的邻近程度与市中心零售楼面面积价值随时间变化之间的关系。
This study is a quantitative investigation into the retail markets of England and Wales between 2005 and 2010. We examine the performance of retail over space and time with particular reference to town centre activity and the impact of large off-centre retail, over a period of economic recession. We also estimate the relative income generated for Local Authorities by town-centre or off-centre location, to propound market significance by geography. Despite a widespread discussion of the impact of de-centralised planning over more than 30 years there have been no detailed studies quantifying this impact; the results aim to address a gap in current empirical evidence at the national extent. We use Valuation Office Agency (VOA) business rates as a proxy performance measure and geo-statistically defined town centre boundaries to create a nationally and statistically consistent methodology. The variation of business 'rateable values' is in part a facet of economic performance, and spatial analysis using Geographic Information Systems (GIS) allowed us to illustrate those areas over and under-performing the national economic market over the same period. New off-centre large retail developments were identified over the same time frame, to identify any correlations between new developments and the resilience of proximate town centres. The study highlighted multi-scale forces and patterns of impact and found a relationship between the proximity of new off-cenre large retail developments and retail floor space value change over time in town centres.