Hospitalisation trends due to selected non-communicable diseases in Sri Lanka, 2005-2010.
Hospitalisation trends due to selected non-communicable diseases in Sri Lanka, 2005-2010.
复制标题
2005 年至 2010 年斯里兰卡因特定非传染性疾病导致的住院趋势。
DOI：
10.4038/cmj.v50i2.1568
复制
发表时间：
2010
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
A. R. Wickremasinghe
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
R. Premaratne;A. Amarasinghe;A. R. Wickremasinghe
目标
预测2005年至2010年因部分非传染性疾病(NCD)而住院的趋势。
设计
卫生部医疗统计股保存的1981年至2000年发病率数据被用来模拟糖尿病、高血压和缺血性心脏病的住院趋势。线性和二次趋势被用来模拟发病率趋势。
结果
对于所考虑的所有三种疾病，住院发病率的增加是指数级的。与2005年相比，2010年因糖尿病、高血压病和缺血性心脏病而住院的发病率估计分别增加了36%、40%和29%。最大的负担和最大的住院率增长将是由于高血压疾病。
结论
由于糖尿病、高血压和缺血性心脏病，住院人数将呈指数级增长。卫生部门应提供额外资源以满足需求。
OBJECTIVES
To project hospitalisation trends due to selected non-communicable diseases (NCD) from 2005 to 2010.
DESIGN
Morbidity data, maintained at the Medical Statistics Unit of the Ministry of Health, from 1981 to 2000, were used to model trends of hospitalisation due to diabetes mellitus, hypertensive disease and ischaemic heart disease. Linear and quadratic trends were used to model morbidity trends.
RESULTS
For all three diseases considered, the increase in the incidence of hospitalisation is exponential. An increase is estimated in the incidence of hospitalisation by 36%, 40% and 29% due to diabetes mellitus, hypertensive disease and ischaemic heart disease, respectively, in 2010 as compared to 2005. The greatest burden and the largest increase in the rate of hospitalisation will be due to hypertensive disease.
CONCLUSIONS
There will be an exponential increase in hospitalisation due to diabetes, hypertension and ischaemic heart disease. The health sector should provide additional resources to meet the demand.