Decline in Marriage Associated with the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States.
Decline in Marriage Associated with the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States.
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DOI：
10.1177/2378023120980328
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发表时间：
2020
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Cohen PN
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Wagner BG;Choi KH;Cohen PN
在2019冠状病毒病（COVID-19）大流行引发的社会动荡中，我们尚不清楚工会的形成，尤其是婚姻，受到了怎样的影响。使用从代表美国各种COVID-19经历的环境中收集的管理记录-结婚证书和申请，作者将2020年记录的婚姻数量与2019年同期的婚姻数量进行了比较。与2019年相比，2020年年初至今的累计婚姻数量大幅减少。在分析婚姻申请的累积数量时，西雅图大都市区也观察到了类似的模式，这是近期婚姻的领先指标。年初至今结婚人数的下降不太可能仅仅是由于管理结婚证的政府机构关闭或报告延迟。总之，这些发现表明，婚姻在COVID-19爆发期间有所下降，并可能继续下降，至少在短期内如此。
In the social upheaval arising from the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, we do not yet know how union formation, particularly marriage, has been affected. Using administration records—marriage certificates and applications—gathered from settings representing a variety of COVID-19 experiences in the United States, the authors compare counts of recorded marriages in 2020 against those from the same period in 2019. There is a dramatic decrease in year-to-date cumulative marriages in 2020 compared with 2019 in each case. Similar patterns are observed for the Seattle metropolitan area when analyzing the cumulative number of marriage applications, a leading indicator of marriages in the near future. Year-to-date declines in marriage are unlikely to be due solely to closure of government agencies that administer marriage certification or reporting delays. Together, these findings suggest that marriage has declined during the COVID-19 outbreak and may continue to do so, at least in the short term.