Modelling State Dependence and Feedback Effects between Poverty, Employment and Parental Home Emancipation Among European Youth
Modelling State Dependence and Feedback Effects between Poverty, Employment and Parental Home Emancipation Among European Youth
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欧洲青年贫困、就业和父母家庭解放之间的国家依赖性和反馈效应建模
DOI：
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发表时间：
2009
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
S. Ayllón
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
S. Ayllón
青年是生命周期中的一个阶段，此时发生了一些最具决定性的生命转变。进入劳动力市场或离开父母的家都是对年轻人的经济福祉具有重要后果的事件。本文利用计量经济学模型研究了8个欧洲国家的就业、居民解放与贫困动态之间的相互关系。结果表明，青年贫困的真实状态依赖是积极的，且具有极显着意义。有证据表明，在斯堪的纳维亚国家，贫穷和离家之间存在很强的因果关系，然而，经济困难的时间并不长。相反，在南欧，年轻人离开父母家的时间往往要晚得多，以避免陷入更持久的贫困状态。过去的贫困对就业的可能性有负面影响。
Youth is one of the phases in the life-cycle when some of the most decisive life transitions take place. Entering the labour market or leaving parental home are events with important consequences for the economic well-being of young adults. In this paper, the interrelationship between employment, residential emancipation and poverty dynamics is studied for eight European countries by means of an econometric model with feedback effects. Results show that youth poverty genuine state dependence is positive and highly significant. Evidence proves there is a strong causal effect between poverty and leaving home in Scandinavian countries, however, time in economic hardship does not last long. In Southern Europe, instead, youth tend to leave their parental home much later in order to avoid falling into a poverty state that is more persistent. Past poverty has negative consequences on the likelihood of employment.