BELIEF IN LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS
BELIEF IN LAW OF SMALL NUMBERS
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DOI：
10.1037/h0031322
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发表时间：
1971-01-01
影响因子：
22.4
通讯作者：
KAHNEMAN, D
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
TVERSKY, A;KAHNEMAN, D
报告说人们对机会法则有错误的直觉。特别是，他们认为从人口中随机抽取的样本具有高度代表性，即在所有基本特征上与人口相似。84名专业心理学家对一份关于研究决策的问卷的回答说明了这种信念的普遍性及其对心理学研究的不幸后果。（PsycINFO数据库记录（c）2016阿帕，保留所有权利）
Reports that people have erroneous intuitions about the laws of chance. In particular, they regard a sample randomly drawn from a population as highly representative, Ie, similar to the population in all essential characteristics. The prevalence of the belief and its unfortunate consequences for psychological research are illustrated by the responses of 84 professional psychologists to a questionnaire concerning research decisions.(PsycINFO Database Record (c) 2016 APA, all rights reserved)