Change of the Spatial Pattern of Rural Energy Consumption in China

Change of the Spatial Pattern of Rural Energy Consumption in China
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发表时间:
2010
期刊:
China Population, Resources and Environment
影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Li Guang-quan
Li Guang-quan
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
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作者:
Li Guang-quan

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本文分析了29个省、自治区、直辖市农村能源消费的空间分布变化及其影响因素(城市、区)运用SPSS16.0统计分析软件,采用因子分析、聚类分析和回归分析等方法,对1996、2000、2003和2006年全国(山海县和西藏县)的1996、2000、2003和2006年的数据进行分析,得出以下结论:1996 - 2006年,以华北-西南为轴,农村能源消费空间格局由中部向两侧递减的趋势越来越明显,华北和西南地区的高水平特征日益强化了农村能源高消费水平;在经济发展水平、人口分布、能源消费分布等方面的综合比较表明,西北地区是贫困型低消费地区,华北和西南地区属于规模人口型高消费地区,东南沿海地区属于高效型低消费地区,根据回归分析结果,影响农村能源消费空间分布的主要因素是强度因子方差比、结构因子方差比和总量因子方差比,强度因子方差比和结构因子方差比对农村能源消费负向影响,总量因子方差比对农村能源消费正向影响。
In this article,the change in spatial distribution and influencing factors of rural energy consumption in 29 provinces(cities,districts)(Data absence of Shanhai and Tibet) of China in 1996,2000,2003 and 2006 are analyzed by using factor analysis,cluster analysis and regression analysis methods in SPSS16.0 statistical analysis software.The article obtained following results: the decreasing trend of rural energy consumption spatial pattern is more and more obvious from the middle China to both sides by the axis of North China-Southwest China from 1996 to 2006; high-level features in North China and the Southwest China had increasingly strengthened high rural energy consumption level;while regional differences in both sides of the axis enlarged,each region apparently had the trend of consistency.Comprehensive comparison among economic development level,population distribution and energy consumption distribution shows that the Northwest China is the low consumption area of poverty type,North China and Southwest China are the high consumption of areas of scale population type,and the coastal area of Southeast China belongs to the low consumption of high-efficient type.According to the results of regression analysis,the main influencing factors on spatial distribution of rural energy consumption are variance ratio of intensity factor,structure factor and gross factor;the former two factors influence rural energy consumption negatively and the latter positively.