Population Growth and Human Capital Investments: Theory and Evidence
Population Growth and Human Capital Investments: Theory and Evidence
复制标题
人口增长和人力资本投资：理论与证据
DOI：
--
复制
发表时间：
1990
影响因子：
8.2
通讯作者：
M. Rosenzweig
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
M. Rosenzweig
本文介绍了实证研究的证据，这些研究检验了与人口增长、人力资本和经济发展之间的相互关系有关的家庭行为模型的假设。这些研究利用了准自然实验，体现在一些低收入国家儿童工资率的跨地区变化，生物学倾向怀孕的夫妇间变化，以及1961- 1971年期间在印度地理选择性引进新的高产种子品种。不同种类的证据支持这样的假设，即与外源技术变革相关的人力资本回报的改变同时导致人力资本投资的增加和生育率的降低，生育控制的成本是抑制人力资本投资的一个重要但适度的因素。
This paper presents evidence from empirical studies that test hypotheses derived from models of household behavior pertaining to the interrelationships among population growth, human capital, and economic development. These studies have exploited quasi-natural experiments embodied in the cross-area variability in the wage rates of children in a number of low-income countries, the intercouple variation in the biological propensity to conceive, and the geographically selective introduction of new high-yielding seed varieties in India in the period 1961-71. The different varieties of evidence support the hypotheses that alterations in the returns to human capital associated with exogenous technical change lead simultaneously to increases in human capital investments and to reductions in fertility and that the costliness of fertility control is a significant but modest factor in inhibiting human capital investments.