STABILITY AND AGREEMENT CRITERIA FOR THE TERMINATION OF DELPHI STUDIES

STABILITY AND AGREEMENT CRITERIA FOR THE TERMINATION OF DELPHI STUDIES
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DOI:
10.1016/0040-1625(79)90007-6
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发表时间:
1979-01-01
影响因子:
12
通讯作者:
TALLEY, WK
TALLEY, WK
中科院分区:
管理学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
DAJANI, JS;SINCOFF, MZ;TALLEY, WK

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本文讨论了连续德尔菲回合之间的稳定性测试方法的问题,以及在分析共识的水平或类型之前这样做的必要性。在讨论了确定终止此类研究的标准的层次设置后,本文回顾了文献中对该主题的一些较常见的治疗方法。最后提出用χ 2检验来检验轮间反应的稳定性。最后通过数值算例验证了该方法的有效性。
This paper addresses the question of the methodology of testing for stability between successive Delphi rounds and the necessity of doing so prior to the analysis of the level or type of consensus. Following a discussion of a hierarchical set of a criteria for determining the termination of such studies, the paper reviews some of the more common treatments of the subject in the literature. It is finally proposed that a χ2test be used to test the stability of responses between rounds. The method is demonstrated by a numerical example.