Voter Turnout in Democratizing Southeast Asia: A Comparative Analysis of Electoral Participation in Five Countries

Voter Turnout in Democratizing Southeast Asia: A Comparative Analysis of Electoral Participation in Five Countries
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东南亚民主化过程中的选民投票率:五个国家选举参与度的比较分析

DOI:
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发表时间:
2014
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影响因子:
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通讯作者:
Maureen A. Lowry
Maureen A. Lowry
中科院分区:
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文献类型:
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作者:
Scott Schraufnagel;M. Buehler;Maureen A. Lowry

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我们考虑对政治 IV 数据库认为最“民主”的东南亚五个国家选民投票率变化的其他解释。对西方国家选民投票率的研究通常在制度、人口、政治和经济变量与投票率水平之间建立联系。在本文中,我们测试了每组预测变量,并尝试开始隔离与东南亚选举参与最相关的因素。研究发现,许多对选民投票率的传统解释是不够的。然而,较高质量的民主加上较差的经济状况可以合理地预测所研究国家的选民投票率。最后,该研究验证了我们的结果,试图促使人们对该地区的民主化进行更彻底的讨论和理解。
We consider alternative explanations for variation in voter turnout rates across the five countries in Southeast Asia that the Polity IV database suggests are most ‘democratic.’ Research on voter turnout in Western states has typically drawn connections between institutional, demographic, political, and economic variables and turnout levels. In this paper, we test each group of predictors and attempt to begin the process of isolating the factors that are most relevant to electoral participation in Southeast Asia. The research finds that many traditional explanations for voter turnout are inadequate. Yet, higher quality democracy combined with poor economic conditions can reasonably predict voter turnout in the countries studied. In the end, the research qualifies our results in an attempt to prompt a more thorough discussion and understanding of democratization in the region.