Health Consequence Scales for Use in Health Impact Assessments of Climate Change
Health Consequence Scales for Use in Health Impact Assessments of Climate Change
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DOI：
10.3390/ijerph110909607
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发表时间：
2014-09-01
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
Spickett, Jeffery
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Brown, Helen;Spickett, Jeffery
虽然健康影响评估通常应用于项目、计划或政策，但它在气候变化等社会面临的重大健康问题的战略考虑方面具有巨大潜力。鉴于气候变化的复杂性，评估健康影响提出了新的挑战，可能需要采取与传统的健康影响评估应用不同的方法。这项研究的重点是发展健康后果量表，适合评估和比较与气候变化相关的健康影响，并在HIA框架内应用。这有助于确定适应计划的优先事项，以尽量减少气候变化对公共健康的影响。本文提出的尺度最初是为2050年珀斯气候变化的HIA开发的，但它们可以在空间和时间尺度上应用。设计依据的是健康影响金字塔，其中健康措施以数量级表示，并与基线人口和健康数据相联系。健康后果措施与可能性措施相结合，以确定与每种健康潜在健康影响相关的风险水平。此外，还开发了一个简单的视觉框架，可用于整理、比较和交流与气候变化相关的健康风险水平。
While health impact assessment (HIA) has typically been applied to projects, plans or policies, it has significant potential with regard to strategic considerations of major health issues facing society such as climate change. Given the complexity of climate change, assessing health impacts presents new challenges that may require different approaches compared to traditional applications of HIA. This research focuses on the development of health consequence scales suited to assessing and comparing health effects associated with climate change and applied within a HIA framework. This assists in setting priorities for adaptation plans to minimize the public health impacts of climate change. The scales presented in this paper were initially developed for a HIA of climate change in Perth in 2050, but they can be applied across spatial and temporal scales. The design is based on a health effects pyramid with health measures expressed in orders of magnitude and linked to baseline population and health data. The health consequence measures are combined with a measure of likelihood to determine the level of risk associated with each health potential health impact. In addition, a simple visual framework that can be used to collate, compare and communicate the level of health risks associated with climate change has been developed.