Case studies, cross-site comparisons, and the challenge of generalization: comparing agent-based models of land-use change in frontier regions.
Case studies, cross-site comparisons, and the challenge of generalization: comparing agent-based models of land-use change in frontier regions.
复制标题
案例研究、跨地点比较和概括的挑战：比较边境地区土地利用变化的基于主体的模型。
DOI：
10.1080/17474230802048151
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发表时间：
2008
影响因子：
3.2
通讯作者：
Malanson,George
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Parker,DawnC;Entwisle,Barbara;Rindfuss,RonaldR;Vanwey,LeahK;Manson,StevenM;Moran,Emilio;An,Li;Deadman,Peter;Evans,TomP;Linderman,Marc;Rizi,SMohammadMussavi;Malanson,George
土地使用科学界已将个案研究的跨地点比较确定为一个重要的优先事项。从实证角度来看，这种比较可能有助于进行概括，从而有助于制定全球规模的土地利用和土地覆盖变化预测。从理论的角度来看，这种比较可以通过确定潜在的假设和支持或反驳证据，为土地利用科学理论的发展提供信息。本文进行了结构化的比较，四个案例研究的土地利用变化在边境地区，遵循基于代理的建模方法。我们的假设是，每个案例研究代表了一个共同过程的特定表现。鉴于不同地点的初始条件和观察过程的时间不同，预计不同地点的实际机制和结果会有很大差异。我们的目标是揭示研究站点、模型实现以及最终从建模过程中得出的结论之间的共性和差异。
Cross-site comparisons of case studies have been identified as an important priority by the land-use science community. From an empirical perspective, such comparisons potentially allow generalizations that may contribute to production of global-scale land-use and land-cover change projections. From a theoretical perspective, such comparisons can inform development of a theory of land-use science by identifying potential hypotheses and supporting or refuting evidence. This paper undertakes a structured comparison of four case studies of land-use change in frontier regions that follow an agent-based modeling approach. Our hypothesis is that each case study represents a particular manifestation of a common process. Given differences in initial conditions among sites and the time at which the process is observed, actual mechanisms and outcomes are anticipated to differ substantially between sites. Our goal is to reveal both commonalities and differences among research sites, model implementations, and ultimately, conclusions derived from the modeling process.