Noah and Joseph effects: floods and droughts under global warming
Noah and Joseph effects: floods and droughts under global warming
复制标题
DOI：
10.1504/ijgw.2018.10016293
复制
发表时间：
2018-10
影响因子：
0.9
通讯作者：
Z. Şen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Z. Şen
大自然不知道决定性的规律，偶尔会打破记录。近年来，随着全球变暖、气候变化和变率效应的加剧，出现了许多极端天气事件，最终给人类带来了有害的后果。这让人想到大自然是否会不时地以不同的方式在不同的地区重演诺亚洪水和约瑟夫七年干旱的影响。由于人类活动对环境的影响，全球变暖的趋势日益加剧，导致当今气候变化，从而使极端事件的频率、强度、规模和区域范围发生前所未有的变化。本文采用概率分布函数和创新的趋势分析方法对诺亚效应和约瑟夫效应进行了定量解释。基本的问题是，人类是否也应该遵守道德，文化和宗教的建议，以尽量减少与水有关的危险，为生物的利益？
Nature knows no deterministic laws and occasionally breaks records. Recently, there are many extreme weather events that end up with human effective harmful consequences with the increasing global warming, climate change and variability effects. This brings into the mind whether the nature replays from time to time Noah flood and Joseph seven-year drought effects in different manner in different regions. Due to anthropogenic impacts on the environment, there is an increasing trend in the global warming leading to present day climate change, and consequently, unprecedented changes in the extreme events' frequency, intensity, magnitude and areal extension. For the quantitative explanation of Noah and Joseph effects probability distribution function and innovative trend analysis methods are used in this paper. The basic question is whether the humans should also abide by the ethical, cultural and religious commends so as to minimise water related dangers for the benefit of living creatures?