Black carbon radiative effects highly sensitive to emitted particle size when resolving mixing-state diversity.
Black carbon radiative effects highly sensitive to emitted particle size when resolving mixing-state diversity.
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DOI:
10.1038/s41467-018-05635-1
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发表时间:
2018-08-27
影响因子:
16.6
通讯作者:
Mahowald NM
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Matsui H;Hamilton DS;Mahowald NM
Post-industrial increases in atmospheric black carbon (BC) have a large but uncertain warming contribution to Earth’s climate. Particle size and mixing state determine the solar absorption efficiency of BC and also strongly influence how effectively BC is removed, but they have large uncertainties. Here we use a multiple-mixing-state global aerosol microphysics model and show that the sensitivity (range) of present-day BC direct radiative effect, due to current uncertainties in emission size distributions, is amplified 5–7 times (0.18–0.42 W m−2) when the diversity in BC mixing state is sufficiently resolved. This amplification is caused by the lifetime, core absorption, and absorption enhancement effects of BC, whose variability is underestimated by 45–70% in a single-mixing-state model representation. We demonstrate that reducing uncertainties in emission size distributions and how they change in the future, while also resolving modeled BC mixing state diversity, is now essential when evaluating BC radiative effects and the effectiveness of BC mitigation on future temperature changes. Black carbon has a large but uncertain warming contribution to Earth’s climate. Here Matsui et al. show that black carbon mixing state and its interaction with aerosol size distribution are required for accurately estimating the radiative effect of black carbon.
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