Importance of functional measures in predicting mortality among older hospitalized patients

Importance of functional measures in predicting mortality among older hospitalized patients
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DOI:
10.1001/jama.279.15.1187
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发表时间:
1998-04-15
影响因子:
120.7
通讯作者:
Concato, J
Concato, J
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Inouye, SK;Peduzzi, PN;Concato, J

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Context.-Measures of physical and cognitive function are strong prognostic predictors of hospital outcomes for older persons, but current risk adjustment and burden of illness assessment indices do not include these measures.Objective.-To evaluate and validate the contribution of functional measures to the ability of 5 standard burden of illness indices (Charlson, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation [APACHE] II, Disease Staging, All Patient Refined Diagnosis Related Groups, and a clinician's subjective rating) in predicting 90-day and 2-year mortality among older hospitalized patients.Design.-Two prospective cohort studies.Setting.-General medicine service, university teaching hospital.Patients.-For the development cohort, 207 consecutive patients aged 70 years or older, and for the validation cohort, 318 comparable patients.Main Outcome Measure.-Death within 90 days and 2 years from the index admission.Results.-In the development cohort, 29 patients (14%) and 81 patients (39%) died within 90 days and 2 years, respectively, A functional axis was developed using 3 independent risk factors: impairment in instrumental activities of daily living, Mini-Mental State Examination score of less than 20, and shortened Geriatric Depression Scale score of 7 or higher, creating low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups with associated mortality rates of 20%, 32%, and 60%, respectively (P