Conditional inevitability: Expert perceptions of carbon capture and storage uncertainties in the UK context

Conditional inevitability: Expert perceptions of carbon capture and storage uncertainties in the UK context
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DOI:
10.1016/j.enpol.2011.03.038
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发表时间:
2011-06
期刊:
影响因子:
9
通讯作者:
B. Evar
B. Evar
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
B. Evar

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本文通过对19名个人参与者的调查数据和半结构化访谈,介绍了英国碳捕获和储存(CCS)技术和政策不确定性的专家看法。2009年夏天,在工业、研究和非政府组织中采访了专家,并请他们就一系列技术过程和政策问题发表评论。调查显示,对该技术的看法符合“确定性低谷”,用户表示最低程度的不确定性,而外部人士表示最高程度的不确定性。采访显示,专家们对在英国部署大规模CCS技术的前景表示肯定,同时质疑确保这一目标所必需的几个基本技术和政策前提。
This paper presents findings on expert perceptions of uncertainty in carbon capture and storage (CCS) technology and policy in the UK, through survey data and semi-structured interviews with 19 individual participants. Experts were interviewed in industry, research, and non-governmental organisations (NGOs) in the summer of 2009 and were asked to comment on a range of technical processes as well as policy concerns. The survey revealed that perceptions of the technology conform to a ‘certainty trough’ with users expressing the lowest level of uncertainty, and outsiders expressing the highest level of uncertainty. The interviews revealed that experts express certitude in the prospects for deploying large-scale CCS technology in the UK, all the while questioning several underlying technical and policy premises that are necessary to ensure this goal.