The Impact of Natural Disasters on Education in Indonesia
The Impact of Natural Disasters on Education in Indonesia
复制标题
自然灾害对印度尼西亚教育的影响
DOI：
10.1007/s41885-017-0022-1
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发表时间：
2018
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
J. Rush
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
J. Rush
印度尼西亚政府关于小学和初中入学率的数据与来自DesInventar自然灾害数据库的数据相结合，探讨自然灾害对地区一级教育入学率的影响。本文采用区域固定效应模型，从控制时间和区域的简单模型开始，然后探索在回归中包含贫困，扫盲和相互作用项。第一个回归的估计系数表明，灾害通常（但并不总是）与较低的入学率有关。据报告，平均各区新增12人失踪，导致小学入学率下降0.2%;22,323公顷种植园/森林遭到破坏，导致中学入学率下降1.69%。回归还表明，较高的贫困加剧了灾害对入学率的负面影响，灾害对中小学入学率的影响方式可能有很大不同。
Indonesian government data on enrollment in primary and lower secondary school are used with data from the DesInventar database on natural disasters to explore the ways natural disasters influence district level enrollment in education. The paper employs regional fixed effects models, beginning with a simple model controlling for time and region and then exploring the inclusion of poverty, literacy, and interaction terms in the regression. The first regression’s estimated coefficients suggest that disasters are generally (but not always) associated with lower enrollment. An additional twelve people reported missing in the average district was associated with a decrease in primary school enrollment of 0.2% while damage to 22,323 ha of plantation/forest is associated with a 1.69% decrease in secondary school enrollment. The regressions also indicate that higher poverty exacerbates the negative impact of disasters on enrollment and that the way disasters affect primary and secondary school enrollment may be quite different.