SinoTERM, a multi-regional CGE model of China
SinoTERM, a multi-regional CGE model of China
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DOI：
10.1016/j.chieco.2008.05.002
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发表时间：
2008-12-01
影响因子：
6.8
通讯作者：
Wittwer, Glyn
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Horridge, Mark;Wittwer, Glyn
本文概述了SinoTERM的理论和数据库准备，SinoTERM是一个“自下而上”的可计算中国经济一般均衡模型。我们构建多区域模型的方法使我们能够以前所未有的细节呈现中国经济。SinoTERM覆盖全国31个省市。该模型的数据库将2002年公布的国家投入产出表扩展到137个部门。在公布的国家投入产出表中，单一作物部门被分为11个，单一畜牧业部门被分为3个。多区域CGE模型提供了一个框架，我们可以修改该框架以应用于许多不同的政策应用。我们可以使用SinoTERM来分析特定区域冲击的区域经济影响。这些冲击可能会导致重大建设项目或卫生和教育部门的投资，以加速落后的内陆省份的经济增长。本文利用SinoTERM主数据库中63个行业、10个地区的数据，对渝利川铁路建设对区域经济的影响进行了建模。(c)2008年爱思唯尔公司All rights reserved.
The paper outlines the theory and database preparation of SinoTERM, a "bottom-up" computable general equilibrium model of the Chinese economy. The methodology by which we construct the multi-regional model allows us to present the economy of China in an unprecedented amount of detail. SinoTERM covers all 31 provinces and municipalities. The database of the model extends the published national input-output table for 2002 to 137 sectors. The single crops sector in the published national input-output table is split into 11 and the single livestock sector into three. The multi-regional CGE model provides a framework that we could modify to apply to many different policy applications. We can use SinoTERM to analyse the regional economic impacts of region-specific shocks. Such shocks could major construction projects or investments in health and education sectors, in an effort to accelerate economic growth in the lagging inland provinces. We use a 63 sector, 10 region aggregation of the SinoTERM master database to model the regional economic impacts of the construction of the Chongqing-Lichuan rail link. (c) 2008 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.