A three-level framework for multi-risk assessment
A three-level framework for multi-risk assessment
复制标题
多风险评估的三级框架
DOI：
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发表时间：
2015
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
B. Q. Luna
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
Zhong;F. Nadim;A. Garcia;A. Mignan;K. Fleming;B. Q. Luna
要有效管理自然和人为灾害造成的风险，就必须考虑到所有相关威胁及其相互作用。本文提出了一个三级框架的多风险评估，占可能的危害和风险的相互作用。第一级是流程图，指导用户决定是否需要采取多危害和风险办法。第二个层次是半定量方法，以探讨是否需要进行更详细的定量评估。第三层次是基于贝叶斯网络的详细的定量多风险分析。给出了该方法的应用实例。
The effective management of the risks posed by natural and man-made hazards requires all relevant threats and their interactions to be considered. This paper proposes a three-level framework for multi-risk assessment that accounts for possible hazard and risk interactions. The first level is a flow chart that guides the user in deciding whether a multi-hazard and risk approach is required. The second level is a semi-quantitative approach to explore if a more detailed, quantitative assessment is needed. The third level is a detailed quantitative multi-risk analysis based on Bayesian networks. Examples that demonstrate the application of the method are presented.