Understanding Socio-Ecological Vulnerability to Climatic Change through a Trajectories of Change Approach: A Case Study from an Indigenous Community in Panama
Understanding Socio-Ecological Vulnerability to Climatic Change through a Trajectories of Change Approach: A Case Study from an Indigenous Community in Panama
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通过变化轨迹方法了解社会生态对气候变化的脆弱性：巴拿马土著社区的案例研究
DOI：
10.1175/wcas-d-18-0093.1
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发表时间：
2019
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
J. Ford
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
A. Li;J. Ford
本文确定和特点的Ngöbe-Buglé土著社区的Playitas，巴拿马，使用“变化轨迹”的方法对气候变化的脆弱性。Playitas是一个由砍伐森林的农民组成的社区，由于人口变化、区域发展和气候变化，该社区正在经历快速的变化。与一个社区组织合作，使用各种方法来确定和描述生计、社会生态动态、环境变化和对变化的行为反应，目的是为社区的未来规划提供信息。定性方法包括半结构化访谈（n = 26），社区工作坊，和参与者观察。根据实地数据和社区成员的看法制作了因果循环图，以模拟变化的轨迹。研究表明，变化是由内部和外部因素驱动的，社区成员的反应创造了加强和平衡的反馈回路，总体上增加了农业系统，社会结构和环境组成部分的压力。虽然社区成员历来依赖社会关系、土著知识和偏远地区作为抵御外部干扰的来源，但气候变化正在成为他们现有脆弱性的“倍增器”，并正在削弱他们适应当前和未来气候变化的能力。
This paper identifies and characterizes vulnerability to climatic change in the Ngöbe-Buglé Indigenous community of Playitas, Panama, using a “trajectories of change” approach. Playitas is a community composed of swidden forest farmers that is undergoing rapid rates of change as a result of demographic shifts, regional development, and climate change. Working in collaboration with a community organization, various methods were used to identify and characterize livelihoods, social-ecological dynamics, environmental change, and behavioral responses to change, with the aim of informing future planning in the community. Qualitative methods included semistructured interviews (n = 26), community workshops, and participant observation. Causal-loop diagrams based on field data and the perceptions of community members were created to model trajectories of change. The research reveals that change is driven by both internal and external factors and that the responses of community members create both reinforcing and balancing feedback loops that overall generate increased stress in agricultural systems, social structures, and environmental components. Although community members historically relied on social relationships, Indigenous knowledge, and remoteness as sources of resilience to external disturbances, climate change is acting as a “multiplier” of their existing vulnerabilities and is undermining their capacity to adapt to current and future climatic changes.