OVERVIEW OF THE COUPLED MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT
OVERVIEW OF THE COUPLED MODEL INTERCOMPARISON PROJECT
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DOI：
10.1175/bams-86-1-89
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发表时间：
2005
影响因子：
8
通讯作者：
G. Meehl;C. Covey;B. Mcavaney;M. Latif;R. Stouffer
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
G. Meehl;C. Covey;B. Mcavaney;M. Latif;R. Stouffer
耦合模式比对项目（CMIP）是一项对当前和未来气候的多模式模拟进行研究和比对的项目。未来的模拟使用理想化的强迫增加是复合的，其中CO2 1% yr−1直到它加倍（接近70年），全球耦合模型通常包含代表大气，海洋，海冰和陆地表面的组件。2003年9月在德国汉堡马克斯·普朗克气象研究所举行的第二次CMIP讲习班上介绍了CMIP诊断分项目的结果。自1998年在澳大利亚墨尔本举行的第一届CMIP讲习班以来，在诊断和理解全球耦合模式的结果方面取得了重大进展。例如，随着越来越多的模型在没有通量调整的情况下获得稳定的多世纪地表气候，通量调整的问题正在慢慢消失。厄尔尼诺变率，通常约为上一代耦合模式中观测到的振幅的一半，现在更加准确。
Abstract The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) involves study and intercomparison of multi-model simulations of present and future climate. The simulations of the future use idealized forcing in increase is compounded which CO2 1% yr−1 until it doubles (near year 70) with global coupled models that contain, typically, components representing atmosphere, ocean, sea ice, and land surface. Results from CMIP diagnostic subprojects were presented at the Second CMIP Workshop held at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg, Germany, in September 2003. Significant progress in diagnosing and understanding results from global coupled models has been made since the time of the First CMIP Workshop in Melbourne, Australia, in 1998. For example, the issue of flux adjustment is slowly fading as more and more models obtain stable multi-century surface climates without them. El Nino variability, usually about half the observed amplitude in the previous generation of coupled models, is now more accur...