Great expectations: the cost of offshore wind in UK waters
Great expectations: the cost of offshore wind in UK waters
复制标题
远大的期望：英国水域海上风电的成本
DOI：
10.25561/12649
复制
发表时间：
2010
影响因子：
2.3
通讯作者：
P. Heptonstall
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
P. Greenacre;R. Gross;P. Heptonstall
英国海上风能的成本-了解过去并预测未来的政策评估(TPA)功能。TPA的设立是为了为决策过程提供信息，并解决能源领域的关键争议。它的目标是提供权威性和可访问性的报告，为严谨和透明度设定非常高的标准。本报告的主题是在与能源部门利益攸关方广泛协商并根据由政府、学术界和私营部门的独立专家组成的TPA咨询小组的建议后选定的。本报告所反映的《贸易促进法》的主要目标是对目前的知识状况进行彻底审查。必要时可进行新的研究，如建模或初步数据收集。它还旨在以非技术读者可以理解的方式解释其调查结果，并对政策制定者有用。TPA使用基于循证政策最佳实践的方案，UKERC对与本报告的关键问题有关的报告和文件进行了系统的搜索。邀请专家和利益攸关方通过一个专家组发表意见和提供意见。在这次审查中，还直接征求了其他专家的意见。项目范围说明和相关材料可从UKERC网站获得，以及关于TPA和UKERC的更多细节。英国能源研究中心对可持续的未来能源系统进行世界级的研究。它是英国能源研究的枢纽，也是英国与国际能源研究界之间的门户。我们的跨学科、完整的系统研究为英国的政策制定和研究战略提供了信息。V概述这份由UKERC技术和政策评估职能部门发布的报告关注的是最近海上风电成本的上升。它记录了早期的预期和政策目标，解释了最近的成本上升，并评估了未来的前景。成本上升的原因是有据可查的。与其他能源技术一样，英国海上风能也受到大宗商品和汇率变动的影响。此外，海上风电一直受到供应链瓶颈和成本上升的影响，这些瓶颈和成本上升与使海上涡轮机可靠并将其安装在更深、更远的地点有关。因此，1990年代末和2000年代初预计的费用削减让位于2005-2009年期间的大幅增加。这份报告发现了成本增长可能已经见顶的证据，但预计…不会有任何有意义的削减
The cost of offshore w ind in UK w aters – understanding the past and projecting the future Policy Assessment (TPA) function. The TPA was set up to inform decision-making processes and address key controversies in the energy field. It aims to provide authoritative and accessible reports that set very high standards for rigour and transparency. The subject of this report was chosen after extensive consultation with energy sector stakeholders and upon the recommendation of the TPA Advisory Group, which is comprised of independent experts from government, academia and the private sector. The primary objective of the TPA, reflected in this report, is to provide a thorough review of the current state of knowledge. New research, such as modelling or primary data gathering may be carried out when essential. It also aims to explain its findings in a way that is accessible to non-technical readers and is useful to policymakers. The TPA uses protocols based upon best practice in evidence-based policy, and UKERC undertook a systematic search for reports and papers related to this report's key question. Experts and stakeholders were invited to comment and contribute through an expert group. For this review, additional experts were also consulted directly. The project scoping note and related materials are available from the UKERC website, together with more details about the TPA and UKERC. iii The UK Energy Research Centre carries out world-class research into sustainable future energy systems. It is the hub of UK energy research and the gateway between the UK and the international energy research communities. Our interdisciplinary, whole systems research informs UK policy development and research strategy. v Overview This report by the UKERC Technology and Policy Assessment function is concerned with recent cost escalations in offshore wind. It documents early expectations and policy goals, explains recent cost escalations and assesses future prospects. The reasons for cost escalation are well documented. In common with other energy technologies, UK offshore wind has been affected by commodity and currency movements. In addition, offshore wind has been subject to particular supply chain bottlenecks and cost escalations associated with making offshore turbines reliable and installing them in deeper more distant sites. As a result, cost reductions anticipated in the late 1990s and early 2000s gave way to dramatic increases in the period from 2005 – 2009. This report finds evidence that cost increases may have peaked, but does not foresee any meaningful reductions …