Predicting divorce among newlyweds from the first three minutes of a marital conflict discussion
Predicting divorce among newlyweds from the first three minutes of a marital conflict discussion
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DOI：
10.1111/j.1545-5300.1999.00293.x
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发表时间：
1999-09-01
期刊：
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
Gottman, JM
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Carrère, S;Gottman, JM
这项研究检验了这样一个假设：婚姻冲突的讨论如何在最初几分钟内开始是离婚的预测因素。使用特定情感编码系统对 124 对新婚夫妇的婚姻冲突讨论进行编码，并将数据分为正面、负面和正面-负-负面情感总计，间隔为 5 个，每次 5 分钟。仅使用丈夫和妻子前 3 分钟的数据就可以预测 6 年期间的婚姻结果。对于丈夫来说，这一预测有所改善，因为各组在剩下的 12 分钟内出现了分歧。对于妻子来说，这个预测在剩下的 12 分钟里和前 3 分钟里一样有力。
This study tested the hypothesis that how a discussion of a marital conflict begins-in its first few minutes-is a predictor of divorce. The marital conflict discussion of 124 newlywed couples was coded using the Specific Affect Coding System, and the data were divided into positive, negative, and positive-minus-negative affect totals for five 5-minute intervals. It was possible to predict marital outcome over a 6-year period using just the first 3 minutes of data for both husbands and wives. For husbands this prediction improved as the groups diverged in the remaining 12 minutes; for wives the prediction remained equally powerful for the remaining 12 minutes as it had been, in, the first 3 minutes.