Plug-in electric vehicle diffusion in California: Role of exposure to new technology at home and work

Plug-in electric vehicle diffusion in California: Role of exposure to new technology at home and work
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插电式电动汽车在加州的普及:在家庭和工作中接触新技术的作用

DOI:
10.7922/g2h993g0
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发表时间:
2021
期刊:
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Gil Tal
Gil Tal
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Debapriya Chakraborty;D. S. Bunch;B. Xu;D. Brownstone;Gil Tal

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作者:Chakraborty,Debapriya;邦奇,大卫·S.;徐秉正;布朗斯通,大卫;吉尔·塔尔 |摘要: 过去几年,加州的插电式电动汽车(PEV)市场主要包括纯电动汽车(BEV)和插电式混合动力汽车(PHEV),增长迅速。考虑到该州 PEV 普及率的目标,更好地了解技术扩散的模式以及推动这一过程的因素非常重要。研究人员利用空间分析和泊松计数模型,确定了邻里效应(在家庭位置)和工作场所效应(在通勤目的地)在支持 PEV 技术在加州推广方面的重要性。就新的 BEV 销量而言,他们发现在街区组质心 1 英里半径内增加一辆 BEV 或 PHEV 与街区组中 BEV 销量增加 0.2% 相关。有趣的是,对于新的 PHEV 销售来说,BEV 销售的邻里效应是负面的,这表明增加对此类技术(与 PHEV 的独特区别)的接触可能会通过替代效应影响新 PHEV 的销售。具体来说,一个地区较高的纯电动汽车集中度可能会对新插电式混合动力汽车的销售产生总体负面影响。虽然住宅区的邻里效应很重要,但工作场所效应对新的 PEV 销售也有显着的重要影响。这两种效应与社会经济、人口、政策和建筑环境因素相结合,鼓励采用 PEV。这些结果表明,政策制定者应考虑有针对性的计划和投资,以增强邻里和同行对 PEV 销售的影响查看 NCST 项目网页
Author(s): Chakraborty, Debapriya; Bunch, David S.; Xu, Bingzheng; Brownstone, David; Tal, Gil | Abstract: The market for plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs) that primarily include battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid vehicles (PHEVs) has been rapidly growing in California for the past few years. Given the targets for PEV penetration in the state, it is important to have a better understanding of the pattern of technology diffusion and the factors that are driving the process. Using spatial analysis and Poisson count models, the researchers identify the importance of a neighborhood effect (at home locations) and workplace effect (at commute destinations) in supporting the diffusion of PEV technology in California. In the case of new BEV sales, they found that exposure to one additional BEV or PHEV within a 1-mile radius of a block group centroid is associated with a 0.2% increase in BEV sales in the block group. Interestingly, for new PHEV sales, the neighborhood effect of BEV sales is negative, suggesting that enhanced exposure to this type of technology (which is differentiated in distinctive ways from PHEVs) may impact new PHEV sales through a substitution effect. Specifically, higher BEV concentration in an area can have an overall negative effect on new PHEV sales. While the neighborhood effect at residential locations is important, the workplace effect also has a notably important effect on new PEV sales. Both effects work in combination with socioeconomic, demographic, policy, and built environment factors in encouraging PEV adoption. These results suggest that policymakers should consider targeted programs and investments that can boost the impact of neighborhood and peer effects on PEV salesView the NCST Project Webpage
DOI: 10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.08.020
发表时间: 2018-10
影响因子: 6.1
作者:
C. Morton;J. Anable;Godwin Yeboah;C. Cottrill
通讯作者: C. Morton;J. Anable;Godwin Yeboah;C. Cottrill