Health spending projections through 2013.
Health spending projections through 2013.
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2013 年卫生支出预测。
作者：
S. Heffler;Sheila D. Smith;Sean P. Keehan;M. K. Clemens;M. Zezza;Christopher J Truffer
由于私人和公共支出增长放缓，2003年全国卫生支出增长率预计将降至7.8%。然而，在今后十年中，卫生支出的增长预计将超过经济增长。因此，卫生保健占国内生产总值的比例预计将从2002年的14.9%增加到2013年的18.4%。最近通过的医疗保险药物福利立法（不包括在这些预测中）预计不会对整体国家卫生支出产生重大影响，但预计将导致支付来源发生相当大的变化。
The rate of growth in national health expenditures is projected to fall to 7.8 percent in 2003 because of slower private and public spending growth. However, during the next ten years health spending growth is expected to outpace economic growth. As a result, the health share of gross domestic product (GDP) is projected to increase from 14.9 percent in 2002 to 18.4 percent in 2013. The recently passed Medicare drug benefit legislation (not included in these projections) is not anticipated to have a large impact on overall national health spending, but it can be expected to cause sizable shifts in payment sources.