Impacts of climate change on infrastructure planning and design:Past practices and future needs
Impacts of climate change on infrastructure planning and design:Past practices and future needs
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气候变化对基础设施规划和设计的影响：过去的做法和未来的需求
DOI：
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发表时间：
2010
期刊：
影响因子：
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通讯作者：
D. Owen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
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作者：
E. Means;Maryline C. Laugier;J. Daw;D. Owen
气候变化正在挑战公用事业公司规划和设计基础设施的方式。气候变化影响的多变性为基础设施工程的基本假设增加了新的不确定性。公用事业公司面临着修改现有规划和设计做法以应对气候变化带来的风险的前景；然而，困难在于确定公用事业公司需要为哪些气候风险进行规划。本文通过调查和案例研究，评价了气候变化对水利工程规划设计的潜在影响。在这些研究结果的基础上，讨论了适应广泛预测的气候变化影响的各种战略。还提出了评估气候变化对设施规划和设计影响的一般框架。这一框架帮助公用事业公司确定哪些方面可能对气候变化敏感，以及可用于减少与气候变化不确定性相关的风险的选择。
Climate change is challenging the way utilities plan and design their infrastructure. The variability of climate change repercussions adds new uncertainties to the fundamental assumptions of infrastructure engineering. Utilities are faced with the prospect of modifying existing planning and design practices to address the risks presented by climate change; however, the difficulty lies in determining for which climate risks utilities need to plan. This article evaluates the potential effects of climate change on water utility planning and design through survey and case studies. On the basis of these findings, various strategies for adapting to the wide range of projected climate change impacts are discussed. A general framework for evaluating the effects of climate change on facility planning and design is also presented. This framework helps utilities identify which aspects may be sensitive to climate change as well as options that can be used to reduce the risks associated with climate change uncertainty.